Disinformation and Peacebuilding in Sub-Saharan Africa: Security Implications of AI-Altered Information Environments
New York, Geneva: United Nations University (UNU) (2024), 39 pp.
"[...] this report aims to further explore the way in which AI technologies as they currently stand impact peace and conflict, and what methods might be used to mitigate their adverse effects - through the development of better tools and the inclusion of peace and conflict considerations in AI governance frameworks. The report presents the following findings: 1. AI is a driver of disinformation which adversely impacts peacebuilding efforts. 2. There are several ways to mitigate AI-powered disinformation. 3. AI can also be used to promote peacebuilding, although these mechanisms are still in their early stages.
In relation to these findings, the report proposes the following recommendations: 1. More funding and support should be provided to civil society organizations’ efforts to expand media literacy and fact-checking initiatives using AI tools to enhance capabilities. 2. Governments need to work with civil society to develop and implement comprehensive, transparent legal frameworks combating disinformation. These legislative measures need to support digital and media literacy campaigns and fact-checking organizations. 3. Social media companies need to expand investment and research into understanding local information environments, so they can better identify and respond to instances of disinformation in all contexts in which they operate and enhance transparency. 4. Peacebuilding organizations need to carefully consider local media ecosystems and information environments when conducting conflict analyses, and factor these dynamics into their projects’ frameworks.
Currently, disinformation exacerbates existing grievances and polarization, can act as a trigger for violence, leads individuals to make decisions based on false information, and creates or intensifies mistrust of institutions and international peacebuilding efforts. The efforts of journalists and civil society organizations to combat these effects, primarily through media literacy initiatives and factchecking, cannot keep up with the scope and scale of ‘fake news.’ Generative AI will increase the rate at which false content is produced and disseminated, and the quality or ‘believability’ of such content. Governments, civil society, and social media companies must work in tandem to combat the spread of disinformation and the impact it can have on peacebuilding efforts and security in sub-Saharan Africa." (Executive summary)
In relation to these findings, the report proposes the following recommendations: 1. More funding and support should be provided to civil society organizations’ efforts to expand media literacy and fact-checking initiatives using AI tools to enhance capabilities. 2. Governments need to work with civil society to develop and implement comprehensive, transparent legal frameworks combating disinformation. These legislative measures need to support digital and media literacy campaigns and fact-checking organizations. 3. Social media companies need to expand investment and research into understanding local information environments, so they can better identify and respond to instances of disinformation in all contexts in which they operate and enhance transparency. 4. Peacebuilding organizations need to carefully consider local media ecosystems and information environments when conducting conflict analyses, and factor these dynamics into their projects’ frameworks.
Currently, disinformation exacerbates existing grievances and polarization, can act as a trigger for violence, leads individuals to make decisions based on false information, and creates or intensifies mistrust of institutions and international peacebuilding efforts. The efforts of journalists and civil society organizations to combat these effects, primarily through media literacy initiatives and factchecking, cannot keep up with the scope and scale of ‘fake news.’ Generative AI will increase the rate at which false content is produced and disseminated, and the quality or ‘believability’ of such content. Governments, civil society, and social media companies must work in tandem to combat the spread of disinformation and the impact it can have on peacebuilding efforts and security in sub-Saharan Africa." (Executive summary)
1. INTRODUCTION, 7
2. CONTEXT, 9
A Primer on AI and Disinformation -- Case Study 1: Civil Society Responses to Disinformation in Kenya
3. AI AND DISINFORMATION COUNTERING PEACEBUILDING EFFORTS, 13
Conflict and its Drivers -- Box: Dominant Drivers of Conflict -- AI-Powered Disinformation as Proof of Harmful Narratives -- Mechanisms for Diffusion of Disinformation Campaigns -- Actors in AI-Powered Disinformation Campaigns -- Evolving Methods in AI-Powered Disinformation -- What is a Troll Farm? -- Case Study 2: Healthy Information Ecosystems for Peacekeeping in DRC
4. MITIGATION METHODS TO ADDRESS AI-POWERED CONFLICT DRIVERS, 24
Grassroots and Civil Society Initiatives -- Social Media Uses of Content Moderation and Guardrails -- Unique Challenges to Mitigation in the Region -- Opportunities for AI to Promote Peacebuilding -- Large-Scale Digital Dialogues -- How to Fact-Check Against Disinformation Using Journalistic Methods -- Case Study 3: The Growing Challenge of Fake News in Côte d’Ivoire
5. CONCLUSION, 33
2. CONTEXT, 9
A Primer on AI and Disinformation -- Case Study 1: Civil Society Responses to Disinformation in Kenya
3. AI AND DISINFORMATION COUNTERING PEACEBUILDING EFFORTS, 13
Conflict and its Drivers -- Box: Dominant Drivers of Conflict -- AI-Powered Disinformation as Proof of Harmful Narratives -- Mechanisms for Diffusion of Disinformation Campaigns -- Actors in AI-Powered Disinformation Campaigns -- Evolving Methods in AI-Powered Disinformation -- What is a Troll Farm? -- Case Study 2: Healthy Information Ecosystems for Peacekeeping in DRC
4. MITIGATION METHODS TO ADDRESS AI-POWERED CONFLICT DRIVERS, 24
Grassroots and Civil Society Initiatives -- Social Media Uses of Content Moderation and Guardrails -- Unique Challenges to Mitigation in the Region -- Opportunities for AI to Promote Peacebuilding -- Large-Scale Digital Dialogues -- How to Fact-Check Against Disinformation Using Journalistic Methods -- Case Study 3: The Growing Challenge of Fake News in Côte d’Ivoire
5. CONCLUSION, 33